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Macro Bullseye

Treasury yields: 3-month, 2-year and 10-year

What the US government pays to borrow for three months, two years and ten years, from Treasury’s daily yield curve. Short-term yields tend to move with the Fed’s rate; the 10-year also reflects where investors expect growth and inflation to go.

Market close Fri, Oct 9

Latest yields

TermYieldvs 1 week agovs 1 year ago
3-month Treasury bill4.25%+0.06 pt+0.22 pt
2-year Treasury note4.80%−0.03 pt+1.20 pt
10-year Treasury note5.24%−0.04 pt+1.10 pt

Market yields at constant maturity, from the US Treasury via FRED (series DGS3MO, DGS2 and DGS10). A point is one percentage point; 0.25 pt is a quarter point.

3-month Treasury bill

3-month Treasury bill yield, last 2 years

2-year Treasury note

2-year Treasury note yield, last 2 years

10-year Treasury note

10-year Treasury note yield, last 2 years

What they mean for your money

Rates on savings accounts, money market funds and short CDs tend to follow short-term Treasury yields, which in turn follow the Fed. When the 3-month yield falls, those rates usually drift down too.

Thirty-year mortgage rates track the 10-year yield more closely than the Fed’s rate, usually sitting a couple of percentage points above it. A falling 10-year yield tends to pull mortgage rates down, and a rising one pushes them up.

The Fed’s own rate is on the Fed target range tracker, and auction dates are on the calendar.